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Red109
151125.5
353944.3
10734.0
Blue125
201632.9
4141.9
207543.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10713050150200109125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#31
44.30.4
45.545.9
Auto11.0
Teleop23.6
End9.7
red by 1.0
43.30.4
46.146.5
Auto14.4
Teleop23.3
End5.5
Second
107
#19
34.00.4
33.834.2
Auto12.1
Teleop11.7
End10.3
blue by 7.9
41
#11
41.90.4
41.141.5
Auto7.9
Teleop26.1
End7.9
Third
1511
#66
25.50.4
24.024.4
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End7.1
blue by 7.5
2016
#57
32.90.4
31.932.3
Auto6.8
Teleop13.7
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned