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Red82
590017.9
543716.1
445140.7
Blue79
426536.8
402044.4
129311.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771070501502008279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#30
40.70.2
42.142.0
Auto12.3
Teleop17.3
End11.1
blue by 3.7
4020
#44
44.41.2
46.745.6
Auto13.0
Teleop20.6
End10.8
Second
5900
#53
17.90.2
16.516.3
Auto6.4
Teleop4.9
End6.6
blue by 18.9
4265
#64
36.81.2
38.237.0
Auto9.6
Teleop25.2
End2.0
Third
5437
#54
16.10.2
17.817.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End5.4
red by 4.8
1293
#33
11.41.2
11.810.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
69%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsEarned