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Red107
680048.6
17654.4
10734.0
Blue115
247138.5
594054.3
632846.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15015580100120140180200220107115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
54.41.2
56.054.8
Auto15.0
Teleop26.9
End12.6
red by 0.1
54.30.8
56.555.7
Auto13.7
Teleop32.6
End7.9
Second
6800
#29
48.61.2
50.148.9
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End8.8
red by 2.0
6328
#22
46.50.8
48.747.9
Auto13.3
Teleop22.4
End10.9
Third
107
#19
34.01.2
35.234.0
Auto12.1
Teleop11.7
End10.3
blue by 4.5
2471
#47
38.50.8
39.438.6
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End8.4