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Red30
85159.3
99838.1
597110.9
Blue16
599711.0
22217.6
99708.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322404060801003016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5971
Unranked
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End3.7
blue by 0.1
5997
Unranked
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End3.0
Second
8515
Unranked
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto2.0
Teleop3.7
End3.5
red by 1.1
9970
Unranked
8.20.0
8.28.2
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End2.4
Third
9983
Unranked
8.10.0
8.18.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.4
red by 0.5
2221
Unranked
7.60.0
7.67.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo odds9%Cargo odds
Hangar
32%Hangar odds6%Hangar odds