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Red8
99708.2
586310.4
99848.1
Blue47
303924.0
361619.6
22217.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196104080100120847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5863
Unranked
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End5.2
blue by 13.6
3039
Unranked
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Second
9970
Unranked
8.20.0
8.28.2
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End2.4
blue by 11.4
3616
Unranked
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.8
End5.6
Third
9984
Unranked
8.10.0
8.18.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.4
red by 0.5
2221
Unranked
7.60.0
7.67.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo odds21%Cargo odds
Hangar
20%Hangar odds33%Hangar odds