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Red58
99848.1
384726.7
45617.2
Blue7
375313.6
599711.0
586310.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603402080100120140587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End7.1
red by 13.2
3753
Unranked
13.60.0
13.613.6
Auto1.6
Teleop5.8
End6.2
Second
456
Unranked
17.20.0
17.217.2
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End5.3
red by 6.2
5997
Unranked
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End3.0
Third
9984
Unranked
8.10.0
8.18.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.4
blue by 2.3
5863
Unranked
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo odds14%Cargo odds
Hangar
42%Hangar odds40%Hangar odds