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Red54
34323.3
239323.3
75255.1
Blue35
63668.5
349015.9
146611.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55350204060801005435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.0
22.622.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End11.0
red by 7.4
15.90.0
16.015.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End5.5
Second
343
#11
23.30.0
22.522.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End7.4
red by 11.9
1466
#24
11.30.0
11.411.3
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End4.8
Third
7525
#37
5.10.0
4.44.4
Auto3.2
Teleop0.5
End1.4
blue by 3.4
6366
#17
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto3.2
Teleop-1.3
End6.6