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Red43
445126.9
40739.6
128718.8
Blue32
47487.9
75255.1
348922.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392301030506070804332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.5
16.116.6
Auto8.3
Teleop8.8
End9.7
red by 4.7
3489
#12
22.10.5
10.110.5
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End6.1
Second
1287
#13
18.80.5
11.011.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End9.8
red by 11.0
4748
#36
7.90.5
6.16.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Third
4073
#21
9.60.5
7.58.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End2.1
red by 4.5
7525
#37
5.10.5
7.88.3
Auto3.2
Teleop0.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed