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Red39
857517.5
61674.8
445126.9
Blue43
105124.5
458210.7
382411.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334002060803943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.8
16.617.4
Auto8.3
Teleop8.8
End9.7
red by 2.4
24.50.3
14.314.6
Auto6.6
Teleop7.1
End10.8
Second
8575
#10
17.50.8
10.311.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.7
End2.3
red by 6.0
3824
#22
11.50.3
11.011.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.3
End4.9
Third
6167
#31
4.80.8
4.95.7
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End1.3
blue by 5.9
4582
#25
10.70.3
11.011.3
Auto5.7
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsEarned