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Red48
110217.6
128718.8
48238.7
Blue12
63668.5
15392.9
47487.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48260204060801004812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1287
#13
18.80.7
15.716.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End9.8
red by 10.3
6366
#17
8.51.7
9.67.9
Auto3.2
Teleop-1.3
End6.6
Second
1102
#15
17.60.7
17.618.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End5.9
red by 9.8
4748
#36DQ
7.91.7
6.75.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Third
4823
#14
8.70.7
8.89.5
Auto1.0
Teleop3.3
End4.4
red by 5.8
1539
#35
2.91.7
10.69.0
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed