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Red15
40739.6
61076.4
407412.6
Blue36
45337.8
28111.8
349015.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263201020405060701536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4074
#16
12.61.1
10.59.4
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End5.4
blue by 3.3
15.90.1
11.411.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End5.5
Second
4073
#21
9.61.1
5.94.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End2.1
blue by 2.2
281
#18
11.80.1
11.211.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End3.7
Third
6107
#33
6.41.1
8.57.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 1.4
4533
#28
7.80.1
6.36.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed