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Red25
407412.6
34213.0
61674.8
Blue31
47487.9
857517.5
70855.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29190104050602531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#30
13.00.1
8.28.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End4.6
blue by 4.6
8575
#10
17.51.3
10.511.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.7
End2.3
Second
4074
#16
12.60.1
9.49.3
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End5.4
red by 4.8
4748
#36
7.91.3
5.16.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Third
6167
#31
4.80.1
8.18.0
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End1.3
blue by 0.8
7085
#23
5.61.3
3.85.1
Auto3.5
Teleop0.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed