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Red43
34213.0
857517.5
81375.0
Blue29
146611.3
110217.6
47487.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263901020305060704329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8575
#10
17.51.9
11.813.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.7
End2.3
blue by 0.1
1102
#15
17.60.6
16.115.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End5.9
Second
342
#30
13.01.9
8.210.0
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End4.6
red by 1.6
1466
#24
11.30.6
12.111.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End4.8
Third
8137
#27
5.01.9
6.18.0
Auto4.3
Teleop2.3
End-1.6
blue by 2.9
4748
#36
7.90.6
6.45.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed