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Red10
407412.6
75255.1
39763.8
Blue11
51305.0
70855.6
15392.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2615010203040501011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4074
#16
12.61.5
9.37.8
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End5.4
red by 7.0
7085
#23
5.60.5
5.14.5
Auto3.5
Teleop0.9
End1.2
Second
7525
#37
5.11.5
6.75.2
Auto3.2
Teleop0.5
End1.4
red by 0.1
5130
#34
5.00.5
2.52.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.5
End-1.3
Third
3976
#32
3.81.5
7.15.6
Auto2.4
Teleop1.0
End0.3
red by 0.9
1539
#35
2.90.5
8.07.5
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed