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Red72
458210.7
36431.1
857517.5
Blue14
48238.7
66932.2
61076.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions531604060801007214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#2
31.12.9
22.125.1
Auto11.1
Teleop15.9
End4.2
red by 22.4
4823
#14
8.71.1
10.69.5
Auto1.0
Teleop3.3
End4.4
Second
8575
#10
17.52.9
13.616.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.7
End2.3
red by 11.1
6107
#33
6.41.1
5.34.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Third
4582
#25
10.72.9
9.712.6
Auto5.7
Teleop3.6
End1.3
red by 8.4
6693
#38
2.21.1
4.23.1
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed