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Red8
175812.6
81375.0
382411.5
Blue81
402041.4
407412.6
128718.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28660204080100120881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1758
#20
12.62.6
9.77.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End1.6
blue by 28.8
41.42.7
32.034.7
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End12.8
Second
3824
#22
11.52.6
13.410.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.3
End4.9
blue by 7.3
1287
#13
18.82.7
16.919.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End9.8
Third
8137
#27
5.02.6
8.05.5
Auto4.3
Teleop2.3
End-1.6
blue by 7.6
4074
#16
12.62.7
7.810.5
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed80%Hangar oddsEarned