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Red110
281517.7
402041.4
426534.4
Blue26
45337.8
146611.3
407412.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4530020608010011026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.46.9
15.522.4
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End12.8
red by 28.8
4074
#16
12.60.9
8.37.4
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End5.4
Second
34.46.9
13.720.6
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End2.5
red by 23.0
1466
#24
11.30.9
10.39.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End4.8
Third
17.76.9
10.717.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End7.6
red by 9.9
4533
#28
7.80.9
11.210.3
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed