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Red33
445126.9
28111.8
51305.0
Blue14
128718.8
61674.8
70855.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43381020305060703314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.7
25.124.4
Auto8.3
Teleop8.8
End9.7
red by 8.0
1287
#13
18.82.7
20.818.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End9.8
Second
281
#18
11.80.7
11.711.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End3.7
red by 6.2
7085
#23
5.62.7
5.62.9
Auto3.5
Teleop0.9
End1.2
Third
5130
#34
5.00.7
2.72.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.5
End-1.3
red by 0.2
6167
#31
4.82.7
9.66.9
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsMissed