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Red43
146611.3
281517.7
128718.8
Blue11
39763.8
382411.5
61076.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions581502040804311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1287
#13
18.80.6
18.117.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End9.8
red by 7.3
3824
#22
11.50.8
11.210.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.3
End4.9
Second
17.70.6
18.217.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End7.6
red by 11.3
6107
#33
6.40.9
4.13.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Third
1466
#24
11.30.6
12.511.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End4.8
red by 7.5
3976
#32
3.80.8
4.03.2
Auto2.4
Teleop1.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned11%Hangar oddsMissed