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Red20
146611.3
349015.9
15392.9
Blue41
63668.5
48238.7
105124.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3544204060802041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.91.1
17.216.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End5.5
blue by 8.5
24.50.0
22.822.9
Auto6.6
Teleop7.1
End10.8
Second
1466
#24
11.31.1
12.611.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End4.8
red by 2.6
4823
#14
8.70.0
9.09.1
Auto1.0
Teleop3.3
End4.4
Third
1539
#35
2.91.1
4.12.9
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.7
End1.2
blue by 5.6
6366
#17
8.50.0
8.68.6
Auto3.2
Teleop-1.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned