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Red89
110230.8
99976.3
177146.7
Blue82
297435.3
493511.2
34326.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81786070901008982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.1
46.646.7
Auto14.1
Teleop29.9
End2.8
red by 11.4
35.30.3
35.635.3
Auto6.9
Teleop23.6
End4.8
Second
30.80.1
30.630.8
Auto7.6
Teleop13.1
End10.2
red by 4.2
343
#6
26.50.3
26.826.5
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End7.0
Third
6.30.2
6.16.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.4
End1.5
blue by 4.9
4935
#17
11.20.3
11.511.2
Auto4.6
Teleop2.5
End4.1