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Red34
429014.3
348921.4
177146.7
Blue28
99951.3
34326.5
99976.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108330501503428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.73.9
50.346.4
Auto14.1
Teleop29.9
End2.8
red by 20.2
343
#6
26.51.7
29.027.4
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End7.0
Second
21.43.9
25.221.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.2
End4.9
red by 15.2
6.32.8
9.97.1
Auto2.2
Teleop2.4
End1.5
Third
4290
#10
14.33.9
17.613.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End2.3
red by 13.0
9995
#16
1.32.8
2.0-0.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop0.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed