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Red16
99993.2
99980.4
34326.5
Blue41
45336.4
110230.8
99976.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323702060801001201641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#6
26.51.4
28.727.3
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End7.0
blue by 4.2
30.80.0
28.128.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.1
End10.2
Second
9999
#14
3.22.4
6.33.9
Auto3.3
Teleop0.3
End-0.6
blue by 3.2
4533
#12
6.40.0
7.57.4
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.6
End4.6
Third
9998
#15
0.42.4
2.50.1
Auto0.4
Teleop-0.2
End0.0
blue by 5.8
6.30.1
5.95.9
Auto2.2
Teleop2.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsMissed