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Red71
752721.1
425324.3
88067.5
Blue58
764515.1
763220.4
608312.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5650203040607080907158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.3
24.024.3
Auto9.6
Teleop6.6
End8.1
red by 3.9
20.40.3
20.120.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.6
Second
21.10.3
20.821.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End6.9
red by 6.0
7645
#11
15.10.3
14.815.1
Auto3.6
Teleop1.7
End9.7
Third
8806
#20
7.50.3
7.27.5
Auto1.8
Teleop2.7
End3.1
blue by 5.3
6083
#28
12.80.3
12.512.8
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End2.5