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Red46
764515.1
763220.4
608312.8
Blue58
816913.6
770913.8
755110.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5039102030607080904658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.2
19.419.2
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.6
red by 6.6
13.80.3
13.914.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Second
7645
#11
15.10.2
14.013.8
Auto3.6
Teleop1.7
End9.7
red by 1.5
8169
#14
13.60.3
13.614.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End3.0
Third
6083
#28
12.80.2
11.911.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End2.5
red by 2.2
7551
#23
10.70.3
10.711.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.7
End3.8