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Red40
763220.4
879010.9
880510.2
Blue26
770913.8
608312.8
75895.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263101020405060704026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.41.7
7.89.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.6
red by 6.6
13.81.2
10.99.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Second
8790
#17
10.91.7
8.09.6
Auto5.1
Teleop2.6
End3.2
blue by 1.9
6083
#28
12.81.2
8.97.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End2.5
Third
8805
#12
10.21.7
9.210.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End2.1
red by 4.6
7589
#30
5.61.2
8.77.5
Auto3.2
Teleop1.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed