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Red13
85859.2
85957.0
608312.8
Blue34
694711.9
61913.8
88067.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292701020405060701334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6083
#28
12.81.5
10.48.9
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End2.5
red by 0.9
6947
#18
11.90.4
9.18.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End4.3
Second
8585
#15
9.22.5
9.26.6
Auto4.4
Teleop2.7
End2.0
red by 1.6
8806
#20
7.50.2
7.57.7
Auto1.8
Teleop2.7
End3.1
Third
8595
#25
7.00.4
7.06.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End0.3
red by 3.2
6191
#31
3.80.4
8.58.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed