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Red58
752613.4
752721.1
85849.2
Blue34
425324.3
81768.4
85038.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34370102030506070805834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.12.9
14.217.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End6.9
blue by 3.2
24.30.0
16.516.5
Auto9.6
Teleop6.6
End8.1
Second
7526
#16
13.42.9
8.911.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End3.0
red by 5.0
8176
#34
8.40.0
7.77.7
Auto2.6
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Third
9.22.9
9.112.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.2
End2.3
red by 1.3
8503
#33
8.00.0
9.79.7
Auto3.7
Teleop2.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsMissed