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Red16
879010.9
816913.6
61913.8
Blue64
749716.2
763613.4
752721.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294201020506070801664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8169
#14
13.61.4
11.510.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End3.0
blue by 7.5
21.13.0
16.819.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End6.9
Second
8790
#17
10.91.4
10.38.9
Auto5.1
Teleop2.6
End3.2
blue by 5.4
16.23.0
10.013.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End5.1
Third
6191
#31
3.81.4
6.75.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.0
End0.2
blue by 9.5
13.43.0
10.613.5
Auto5.2
Teleop3.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed