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Red18
75895.6
76738.1
77414.2
Blue29
880510.2
752613.4
694711.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283501020405060701829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7673
#24
8.11.0
11.610.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End2.8
blue by 5.3
7526
#16
13.40.8
11.711.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End3.0
Second
7589
#30
5.61.0
7.86.7
Auto3.2
Teleop1.2
End1.3
blue by 6.3
6947
#18
11.90.8
11.711.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End4.3
Third
7741
#27
4.21.0
8.06.9
Auto0.9
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 5.9
8805
#12
10.20.8
8.37.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed