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Red72
608312.8
880510.2
425324.3
Blue10
77414.2
88067.5
812112.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3828010205060707210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.33.3
18.421.7
Auto9.6
Teleop6.6
End8.1
red by 11.7
8121
#22
12.51.9
14.312.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.6
End6.5
Second
6083
#28
12.83.3
8.211.5
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End2.5
red by 5.3
8806
#20
7.51.9
6.14.2
Auto1.8
Teleop2.7
End3.1
Third
8805
#12
10.23.3
7.610.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End2.1
red by 5.9
7741
#27
4.21.9
6.95.0
Auto0.9
Teleop1.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed