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Red43
87257.3
763220.4
61913.8
Blue41
82706.2
752613.4
812112.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303201020405060704341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.6
17.117.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.6
red by 7.0
7526
#16
13.40.7
11.712.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End3.0
Second
8725
#26
7.30.7
8.39.0
Auto4.4
Teleop1.2
End1.7
blue by 5.2
8121
#22
12.50.7
12.413.1
Auto3.5
Teleop2.6
End6.5
Third
6191
#31
3.80.6
3.23.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.0
End0.2
blue by 2.3
8270
#32
6.20.7
6.16.8
Auto2.4
Teleop0.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed