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Red18
61913.8
81768.4
75895.6
Blue24
812112.5
85859.2
81295.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1731010405060701824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8176
#34
8.40.0
8.48.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 4.1
8121
#22
12.50.3
13.112.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.6
End6.5
Second
7589
#30
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto3.2
Teleop1.2
End1.3
blue by 3.5
8585
#15
9.20.3
8.27.9
Auto4.4
Teleop2.7
End2.0
Third
6191
#31
3.80.0
3.83.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.0
End0.2
blue by 1.7
8129
#35
5.50.3
5.85.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed