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Red24
75895.6
879010.9
749716.2
Blue35
85038.0
77414.2
889412.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273101020405060702435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.2
8.68.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End5.1
red by 4.2
8894
#21
12.04.5
12.07.5
Auto5.3
Teleop2.0
End4.8
Second
8790
#17
10.92.9
10.98.0
Auto5.1
Teleop2.6
End3.2
red by 2.9
8503
#33
8.00.6
10.59.9
Auto3.7
Teleop2.7
End1.5
Third
7589
#30
5.60.2
8.98.7
Auto3.2
Teleop1.2
End1.3
red by 1.4
7741
#27
4.20.6
9.79.1
Auto0.9
Teleop1.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed