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Red22
879010.9
872311.0
713010.5
Blue56
764515.1
763220.4
608312.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33520204060801002256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8723
#10
11.00.5
11.411.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End2.3
blue by 9.5
20.40.1
19.819.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.6
Second
8790
#17
10.90.4
11.310.9
Auto5.1
Teleop2.6
End3.2
blue by 4.2
7645
#11
15.10.1
14.414.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.7
End9.7
Third
7130
#19
10.50.5
11.010.5
Auto2.7
Teleop0.9
End7.0
blue by 2.3
6083
#28
12.80.1
12.212.2
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End2.5