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Quarterfinal 2-22022 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red80
239333.2
402840.9
349216.1
Blue61
105131.0
34330.3
651716.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9482601001201408061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#4
40.90.2
39.9→39.8
Auto11.0
Teleop16.2
End13.7
red by 9.9
1051
#6
31.00.4
31.4→31.0
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End11.9
Second
2393
#14
33.20.2
32.2→32.0
Auto10.0
Teleop13.0
End10.1
red by 2.9
343
#5
30.30.4
30.7→30.3
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End8.9
Third
3492
#31
16.10.2
15.0→14.8
Auto6.7
Teleop5.4
End4.0
Level
6517
#16
16.00.4
16.5→16.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End2.9