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Quarterfinal 4-12022 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red101
426536.2
445141.4
382413.6
Blue51
446726.7
405022.3
382111.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1006020408012014016010151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#3
41.40.2
40.5→40.7
Auto10.0
Teleop18.2
End13.2
red by 14.7
4467
#8
26.70.2
26.9→26.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End5.9
Second
4265
#21
36.20.2
35.3→35.5
Auto11.3
Teleop23.9
End1.0
red by 13.9
4050
#7
22.30.2
22.4→22.2
Auto7.6
Teleop8.3
End6.3
Third
3824
#41
13.60.2
12.7→12.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End3.6
red by 2.1
3821
#19
11.50.2
11.7→11.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End4.2