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Red19
382413.6
28568.2
74069.6
Blue83
857522.4
500217.1
446726.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28490204060801001201401983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#41
13.61.4
11.510.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End3.6
blue by 13.1
26.73.0
15.718.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End5.9
Second
7406
#34
9.62.0
7.65.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.9
blue by 12.9
8575
#18
22.43.0
17.520.5
Auto5.9
Teleop12.3
End4.2
Third
2856
#33
8.22.0
9.47.4
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End0.9
blue by 8.9
5002
#27
17.14.4
9.814.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsEarned