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Red38
574410.6
549220.9
146610.1
Blue22
463013.4
75258.8
426536.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3856020801003822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#17
20.90.0
21.321.3
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End10.8
blue by 15.3
4265
#21
36.22.1
34.832.7
Auto11.3
Teleop23.9
End1.0
Second
5744
#20
10.60.0
7.67.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End2.4
blue by 2.8
4630
#30
13.43.1
8.85.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End3.1
Third
1466
#28
10.10.0
9.49.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End2.7
red by 1.3
7525
#23
8.81.9
6.64.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsEarned55%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed