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Qual 202022 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red18
549220.9
74069.6
39847.6
Blue65
174722.6
75258.8
278321.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141203050601865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#17
20.91.4
21.3→19.9
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End10.8
blue by 1.7
1747
#9
22.61.5
14.2→15.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End9.4
Second
7406
#34
9.62.3
8.6→6.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.9
blue by 12.0
2783
#10
21.51.5
19.2→20.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End5.0
Third
3984
#37
7.62.3
8.7→6.4
Auto4.9
Teleop1.5
End1.2
blue by 1.2
7525
#23
8.81.5
4.7→6.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsEarned