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Red22
314014.2
630214.7
500217.1
Blue92
751514.9
34330.3
261442.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338602040601001201401602292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5002
#27
17.11.7
15.814.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End9.6
blue by 25.2
42.21.2
31.933.1
Auto10.7
Teleop20.2
End11.3
Second
6302
#39
14.71.7
10.38.6
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End3.0
blue by 15.6
343
#5
30.31.2
27.528.8
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End8.9
Third
3140
#32
14.21.0
11.410.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End2.5
blue by 0.7
7515
#25
14.91.2
14.315.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed78%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed90%Hangar oddsEarned