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Red81
405022.3
146610.1
18046.7
Blue60
426536.2
446726.7
382111.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796620401001201408160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#2
46.70.6
43.544.1
Auto10.9
Teleop28.1
End7.7
red by 10.5
4265
#21
36.20.2
34.334.0
Auto11.3
Teleop23.9
End1.0
Second
22.30.6
19.820.3
Auto7.6
Teleop8.3
End6.3
blue by 4.5
26.70.2
20.620.4
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End5.9
Third
1466
#28
10.10.6
9.39.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End2.7
blue by 1.4
3821
#19
11.50.4
8.78.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned65%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed