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Red70
430610.0
175818.4
426536.2
Blue72
74069.6
261442.2
450412.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69500204060801001207072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#21
36.20.5
34.034.6
Auto11.3
Teleop23.9
End1.0
blue by 6.1
42.21.5
33.134.6
Auto10.7
Teleop20.2
End11.3
Second
1758
#29
18.40.5
13.614.1
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.7
red by 6.0
4504
#38
12.42.5
10.112.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End3.6
Third
4306
#36
10.00.9
14.615.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.9
End3.4
red by 0.4
7406
#34
9.62.5
6.58.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned