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Red113
457627.0
402044.3
651716.0
Blue61
415028.5
463013.4
314014.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions874420608010012011361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#11
44.32.2
43.846.0
Auto14.5
Teleop20.1
End9.7
red by 15.9
4150
#12
28.51.0
25.326.3
Auto7.1
Teleop8.2
End13.2
Second
4576
#15
27.02.2
20.622.8
Auto6.6
Teleop11.9
End8.6
red by 12.8
3140
#32
14.21.0
13.614.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End2.5
Third
6517
#16
16.03.7
11.515.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End2.9
red by 2.6
4630
#30
13.41.6
7.59.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsEarned