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Red35
50056.2
549220.9
314014.2
Blue54
74069.6
75166.1
415028.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48401020306070803554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#17
20.90.6
21.120.5
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End10.8
blue by 7.5
4150
#12
28.50.7
27.227.9
Auto7.1
Teleop8.2
End13.2
Second
3140
#32
14.20.6
15.114.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End2.5
red by 4.6
7406
#34
9.61.1
8.99.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Third
5005
#43
6.20.9
7.86.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End1.0
red by 0.1
7516
#40
6.11.1
2.83.9
Auto3.2
Teleop0.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsEarned