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Red64
28568.2
349216.1
225241.5
Blue76
174722.6
446218.9
651716.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6456304050607080906476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#13
41.50.3
38.538.8
Auto14.6
Teleop19.0
End7.9
red by 18.9
22.61.5
20.922.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End9.4
Second
3492
#31
16.10.5
11.912.4
Auto6.7
Teleop5.4
End4.0
blue by 2.8
4462
#22
18.92.2
17.019.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.0
End5.5
Third
2856
#33
8.20.5
8.48.9
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End0.9
blue by 7.9
6517
#16
16.02.2
15.317.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned30%Hangar oddsEarned