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Red58
463013.4
239333.2
348915.9
Blue65
75258.8
382111.5
415028.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7246204060801001205865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2393
#14
33.20.4
32.331.8
Auto10.0
Teleop13.0
End10.1
red by 4.7
4150
#12
28.51.2
27.929.1
Auto7.1
Teleop8.2
End13.2
Second
3489
#42
15.90.4
18.518.1
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End3.4
red by 4.4
3821
#19
11.51.6
12.213.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End4.2
Third
4630
#30
13.40.6
13.713.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End3.1
red by 4.6
7525
#23
8.81.2
6.88.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsEarned