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Red58
146610.1
500217.1
174722.6
Blue54
446218.9
382413.6
751514.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545030406070805854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.5
22.523.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End9.4
red by 3.8
4462
#22
18.90.2
19.219.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.0
End5.5
Second
5002
#27
17.10.7
17.217.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End9.6
red by 2.2
7515
#25
14.90.2
13.513.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End3.8
Third
1466
#28
10.10.5
10.310.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End2.7
blue by 3.5
3824
#41
13.60.2
14.714.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsEarned24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned42%Hangar oddsMissed