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Red18
382413.6
348915.9
500217.1
Blue80
549220.9
396615.0
105131.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5174204060801001201880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5002
#27
17.12.7
17.915.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End9.6
blue by 13.9
31.00.6
31.331.9
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End11.9
Second
3489
#42
15.92.2
18.115.9
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End3.4
blue by 5.0
5492
#17
20.90.6
21.021.6
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End10.8
Third
3824
#41
13.62.2
14.912.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End3.6
blue by 1.4
3966
#24
15.00.8
14.215.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed85%Hangar oddsEarned