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Red40
430610.0
146610.1
446726.7
Blue83
34330.3
457627.0
174722.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4993204060801001201401604083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.8
27.726.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End5.9
blue by 3.6
343
#5
30.30.1
31.131.2
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End8.9
Second
1466
#28
10.10.8
10.910.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End2.7
blue by 16.9
4576
#15
27.00.1
27.527.6
Auto6.6
Teleop11.9
End8.6
Third
4306
#36
10.01.0
13.312.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.9
End3.4
blue by 12.6
22.60.1
23.023.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsMissed68%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed85%Hangar oddsEarned